Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.