La Liga Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
Sep 24, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Lucas Vazquez 1' goal
  • Federico Valverde 4' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 30' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 40' goal
  • Rodrygo 48' goal
  • Endrick 83' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Benavidez 85'
  • goal Kike 86'

Real Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Espanyol
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2024 8.00pm
Alaves 2 - 1 Sevilla
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 73.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 16.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Alaves 9.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.69% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.04% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 41.96% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 35.64% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 64.36% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 18.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.25% ▲ (+0.11)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 90.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 9.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 67.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 32.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 50.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 49.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 15.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 84.14% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 73.4%
Draw 16.84%
Alaves 9.75%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 13.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.84%
Alaves
0-1 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 9.75%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
May 14, 2024 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Jude Bellingham 10' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 27' goal
  • Federico Valverde 45'+1' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 52' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 70' goal
  • Arda Guler 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 50'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Alaves
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Ruben Duarte 45' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 83' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 39'
  • redcard Nacho 54'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 84'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
Feb 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
  • Luka Modric 33' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 63' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 80' goal
  • Karim Benzema 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 48'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Alaves
Aug 14, 2021 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Manu Garcia 35' yellowcard
  • Joselu 65' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 48'
  • yellowcard Gareth Bale 53'
  • goal Nacho 56'
  • goal Karim Benzema 62'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 64'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Alaves
Jan 23, 2021 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Real Madrid
  • Ximo Navarro 10' yellowcard
  • Manu Garcia 49' yellowcard
  • Joselu 59' goal
  • Victor Laguardia 79' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 85' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 15'
  • goal Karim Benzema 41'
  • goal Eden Hazard 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 59'
  • goal Karim Benzema 70'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 86'
  • yellowcard Karim Benzema 88'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Nov 28, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Alaves
  • Casemiro 18' yellowcard
  • Toni Kroos 61' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 86' goal
  • goal Lucas Perez 5'
  • goal Joselu 49'
  • yellowcard Luis Rioja 67'
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 76'
  • yellowcard Edgar Mendez 88'

Form Data

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Espanyol
Real Madrid 3 - 1 Stuttgart
Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Monaco
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Betis
Las Palmas 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Alaves 2 - 1 Sevilla
Espanyol 3 - 2 Alaves
Alaves 2 - 0 Las Palmas
Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 0 Betis
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Alaves

Build-up

Predicted Lineups