La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Sergi Guardiola 40' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 58' goal
  • Pedro Diaz 72' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 74' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 11'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 20'
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 60'
  • goal Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta 80'

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 3.15pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Sevilla
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 43.05%
Draw 27.72% (+0.07)
Real Sociedad 29.23% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.48% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 58.52% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 20.9% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 79.1% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 8.86% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 91.14% (+0.11)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 26.93% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 37.74% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 62.26% (+0.15)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 64.27% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 35.73% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 27.5% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 72.5% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 43.05%
Draw 27.72%
Real Sociedad 29.23%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.62% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.28% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.62% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.72%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 9.9% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.23%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2025 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 24' goal
  • Martin Zubimendi 43' yellowcard
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 45'+1' goal
  • Sergio Gomez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 17'
  • goal Oscar Trejo 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 59'
  • redcard Alfonso Espino 77'
  • yellowcard Isi 81'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Urko Gonzalez de Zarate 27' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Martin Zubimendi 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 32'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 53'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 56'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 57'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 67'
  • goal Sergio Camello 84'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Javi Galan 70' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 7'
  • yellowcard Francisco 8'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 18'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 85'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Florian Lejeune 13' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 31' goal
  • Alvaro Garcia 65' yellowcard
  • Bebe 90'+1' goal
  • Bebe 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 41'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 66'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 72'
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 74'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Alexander Sorloth 59' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 81' goal
  • goal Isi 57'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 15'
  • goal Ander Barrenetxea 36'