La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Crespo (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (67')
Ruiz de Galarreta (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic will enter Saturday's contest as the favourites, but they have found victories hard to come by in recent away games, having won just one of their previous four road trips. As a result, we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Rayo side that has lost just one of their last seven home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
38.5% ( 0.21)	28.02% ( -0.01)	33.48% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.51% (

0.01)

58.49% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93% (

0.01)

79.07% (

-0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55% (

0.13)

29.45% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

0.16)

65.46% (

-0.16)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37% (

-0.13)

32.63% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

-0.15)

69.18% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 38.49%

Athletic Bilbao 33.48%

Draw 28.01%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.49%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.48%