Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.