Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.