Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.