MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 39' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 39' goal
  • Ivan Angulo 74' yellowcard
  • Ivan Angulo 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antony 66'
  • yellowcard Antony 66'
  • yellowcard Dario Zuparic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Dario Zuparic 90'+3'

Orlando City vs Portland Timbers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 1 Charlotte FC

Portland Timbers

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 2.30am
Salt Lake 0 - 0 Portland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Orlando City 53.24% (-3.33)
Draw 21.83% (+0.72)
Portland Timbers 24.92% (+2.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.45% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.36% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 36.64% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 41.2% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 58.8% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 23.11% (-0.44)
Under 4.5 76.88% (+0.43)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 86.09% (-1.18)
Under 0.5 13.91% (+1.18)
Over 1.5 58.66% (-2.37)
Under 1.5 41.34% (+2.36)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 72.54% (+1.82)
Under 0.5 27.46% (-1.82)
Over 1.5 37.05% (+2.29)
Under 1.5 62.95% (-2.30)

Score analysis

Orlando City 53.24%
Draw 21.83%
Portland Timbers 24.92%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.49)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.37)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.56)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.33)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.40)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.19)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 53.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 6.21% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 3.82% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.83%
Portland Timbers
1-2 @ 6.29% (+0.50)
0-1 @ 4.94% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 3.19% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.34)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.37% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 24.92%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 27, 2022 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Claudio Bravo 65' yellowcard
  • Jose van Rankin 71' yellowcard
  • Jose van Rankin 76' redcard
  • Cristhian Paredes 80' goal
  • Cristhian Paredes 81' yellowcard
  • Blake Bodily 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Urso 52'
  • yellowcard Benji Michel 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2020 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
  • Larrys Mabiala 27' goal
  • Larrys Mabiala 44' yellowcard
  • Dario Zuparic 66' goal
  • Diego Chara 70' yellowcard
  • Jorge Villafana 73' yellowcard
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 39'
  • yellowcard Antonio Carlos 47'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 63'
  • yellowcard Nani 73'
  • yellowcard Ruan 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
May 31, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer
Jul 19, 2019 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brian Fernandez 9' yellowcard
  • Larrys Mabiala 67' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 82' goal
  • Claude Dielna 89' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Patino 44'
  • yellowcard Oriol Rosell 50'
  • yellowcard Santiago Patino 77'
  • yellowcard Jhegson Mendez 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
Apr 8, 2018 9.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Orlando City Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
  • Mohammed Mounir Abdussalam 28' yellowcard
  • Chris Mueller 80' goal
  • Sacha Kljestan 82' goal
  • Dom Dwyer 87' goal
  • Dom Dwyer 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Blanco 8'
  • goal Diego Valeri 20'
  • goal Bill Tuiloma 59'
  • yellowcard Jake Gleeson 77'
Major League Soccer
Sep 25, 2017 1.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Diego Valeri 15' goal
  • Darren Mattocks 30' goal
  • Diego Valeri 59' goal
  • Liam Ridgewell 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Spector 14'
  • redcard Jonathan Spector 47'
  • yellowcard Antonio Nocerino 52'
  • redcard PC 84'