Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.