Major League Soccer

May 18, 2025 at 2.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 1
Seattle

Moreno (36', 36')
Ayala (23'), Ayala (23'), Miller (34'), Miller (34')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Rusnak (30', 30')
Tolo (50'), Tolo (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Portland
Thursday, May 15 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 4-0 Seattle
Thursday, May 15 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
41.15% ( 0.01)	24.55% ( 0.01)	34.3% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-0.03)

43.89% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-0.03)

66.28% (

0.03)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61% (

-0.01)

21.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62% (

-0.02)

54.37% (

0.02)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

-0.02)

24.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

-0.03)

59.59% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 41.15%

Seattle Sounders 34.3%

Draw 24.54%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.15%	1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.3%