Conference League
May 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 10' goal
  • Rodinei 30' yellowcard
  • Daniel Podence 53' yellowcard
  • Quini 67' yellowcard
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 78' goal
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Tim Iroegbunam 73'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 89'

Olympiacos vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Olympiacos

Aston Villa

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Olympiacos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result

Olympiacos 61.41% (+0.26)
Draw 20.46% (-0.08)
Aston Villa 18.12% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.74% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 38.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.88% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 79.12% (-0.03)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 87.67% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 12.33% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 61.87% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 38.13% (-0.17)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 64.89% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 35.11% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.14% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 71.86% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Olympiacos 61.41%
Draw 20.46%
Aston Villa 18.12%
Olympiacos
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.48% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.06% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.62% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.46% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.46%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.12%

Head to Head

Conference League
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+1' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 52' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 16'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 29'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 56'
  • goal Santiago Hezze 67'
  • yellowcard Kostas Fortounis 83'