Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.