Nations League
Nov 16, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Wout Weghorst 21' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 45'+12' goal
  • Jurrien Maduro 61' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 64' goal
  • Teun Koopmeiners 86' goal
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 6'
  • yellowcard Marton Dardai 55'

Netherlands vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
Germany 1 - 0 Netherlands

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
Bosnia H'vina 0 - 2 Hungary

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Netherlands 52.88% (-0.03)
Draw 23.54% (-0.01)
Hungary 23.58% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.14% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.86% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.83% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.17% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.95% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.05% (-0.02)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 82.69% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.31% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.33% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.67% (-0.01)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.56% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.21% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Netherlands 52.87%
Draw 23.53%
Hungary 23.58%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 52.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.53%
Hungary
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.07% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.58%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Puskas Arena
  • Barnabas Varga 13' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 32' goal
  • Attila Fiola 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 77'
  • redcard Virgil van Dijk 79'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 83'
World Cup
Oct 11, 2013 7.30pm
8
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Robin van Persie 16' goal
  • Kevin Strootman 25' goal
  • Jeremain Lens 38' goal
  • Robin van Persie 44' goal
  • Robin van Persie 53' goal
  • Szilard Devecseri 65' goal
  • Rafael van der Vaart 86' goal
  • Arjen Robben 90' goal
  • goal Balázs Dzsudzsak 48'
  • yellowcard Szilard Devecseri 55'
  • yellowcard Richard Guzmics 82'
World Cup
Sep 11, 2012 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Balazs Dzsudzsak 0' goal
  • goal Jeremain Lens 0'
  • goal Bruno Martins Indi 0'
  • goal Klaas Jan Huntelaar 0'