Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.