Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier

Simon (18' pen.), Coquelin (31'), Abline (79')
Thomas (53'), Pallois (57'), Coquelin (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Chennahi (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 PSG
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
50.63% ( 3.04)	24.4% ( -0.22)	24.97% ( -2.81)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.74% (

-1.18)

48.26% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.59% (

-1.09)

70.41% (

1.09)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

0.78)

19.08% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.32% (

1.27)

50.68% (

-1.26)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-2.85)

33.67% (

2.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

-3.23)

70.33% (

3.24)

Score Analysis

Nantes 50.63%

Montpellier HSC 24.97%

Draw 24.4%

Nantes	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.82) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.63%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.97%