Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 72.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.7%) and 3-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match.