Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.43%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 15.39% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 4-1 (5.77%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.