-
Ruben Castro
32'
-
Fran Villalba
34'
Lugo vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
Result
Lugo
33.06%
▼
(-0.94)
Draw
30.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Malaga
36.88%
▲
(+0.95)
Both Teams to Score:
41.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
34.64%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
65.36%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
15.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
84.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
6.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
93.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5
63.42%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 0.5
36.58%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 1.5
26.63%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 1.5
73.37%
▲
(+0.71)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5
66.03%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 0.5
33.97%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 1.5
29.35%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 1.5
70.64%
▼
(-0.64)
Score analysis
Lugo
33.06%
Draw
30.05%
Malaga
36.87%
Lugo
1-0
@
12.49%
▼
(-0.23)
2-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 33.06%
2-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 33.06%
Draw
1-1
@
13.49%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.05%
0-0 @ 12.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.05%
Malaga
0-1
@
13.41%
▲
(+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.87%
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.87%
