/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Ismaily
65'
-
Matias Fernandez Pardo
74'
-
Alexsandro
79'
-
Ismael Bennacer
29'
-
Amine Gouiri
57'
-
Ulisses Garcia
73'
Lille vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F12%2Fjonathan-david.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result
Lille
53.49%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
21.61%
▼
(-0.30)
Marseille
24.9%
▲
(+0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
63.24%
▲
(+1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.4%
▲
(+1.54)
Under 2.5
35.6%
▼
(-1.54)
Over 3.5
42.34%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 3.5
57.66%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 4.5
24.05%
▲
(+1.38)
Under 4.5
75.95%
▼
(-1.38)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
86.53%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 0.5
13.47%
▼
(-0.58)
Over 1.5
59.52%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 1.5
40.48%
▼
(-1.15)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
73.09%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
26.92%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 1.5
37.76%
▲
(+1.21)
Under 1.5
62.24%
▼
(-1.20)
Score analysis
Lille
53.49%
Draw
21.61%
Marseille
24.9%
Lille
2-1
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 53.49%
2-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.25)
1-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 53.49%
Draw
1-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.28)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.61%
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.29)
3-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.61%
Marseille
1-2
@
6.26%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 24.9%
