/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fauxlog.png)
-
Thomas Meunier
9'
-
Thomas Meunier
10'
-
Bafode Diakite
22'
-
Jonathan David
43'
-
Jonathan David
90'+7'
-
Jubal
47'
-
Han-Noah Massengo
61'
-
Alexsandro
90'+2'
(OG)
Lille vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F12%2Fjonathan-david.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
65.68%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
18.77%
▼
(-0.11)
Auxerre
15.54%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
57.25%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.89%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
36.11%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
41.78%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
58.22%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
23.59%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
76.41%
▼
(-0.13)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
89.72%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
10.28%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
66.34%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
33.66%
▼
(-0.25)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
63.81%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
36.2%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
27.02%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
72.98%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Lille
65.68%
Draw
18.77%
Auxerre
15.54%
Lille
2-1
@
9.79%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 65.68%
2-0 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.98%
Total : 65.68%
Draw
1-1
@
8.6%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.77%
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.77%
Auxerre
1-2
@
4.37%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 15.54%
0-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 15.54%
