Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.