Premier League Gameweek 31
Leicester
Apr 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT King Power Stadium
Newcastle
  • Wilfred Ndidi 14' yellowcard
  • James Justin 47' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Murphy 2'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 11'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 34'

Leicester City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
Man City 2 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
Newcastle 2 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Leicester City win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 20.49% ▲ (+0.19)
Draw 21.59% ▲ (+0.10)
Newcastle United 57.92% ▼ (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.14% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 40.86% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 36.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 63.25% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.14)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 66.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 33.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.26% ▼ (-0.09)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 86.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 13.87% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 41.26% ▲ (+0.28)

Score analysis

Leicester City 20.49%
Draw 21.59%
Newcastle United 57.92%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-98.20)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.59%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 57.92%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 16
Newcastle
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Leicester
  • Jacob Murphy 30' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 35' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 39' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 47' goal
  • Alexander Isak 50' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 60' goal
  • Joelinton 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Skipp 20'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Caleb Okoli 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Newcastle
May 22, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leicester
EFL Cup
Newcastle
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Leicester
  • Dan Burn 60' goal
  • Joelinton 72' goal
Premier League Gameweek 17
Leicester
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
Newcastle
  • goal Chris Wood 3'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 7'
  • goal Joelinton 32'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Newcastle
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Leicester
  • Bruno Guimaraes 30' goal
  • Emil Krafth 84' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Amartey 1'
  • goal Ademola Lookman 19'
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Leicester
Dec 12, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Timothy Castagne 11' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 38' goal
  • Patson Daka 57' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 64' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 81' goal
  • James Maddison 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Lewis 24'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 70'
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 90'

Form Data

Man City 2 - 0 Leicester
Leicester 0 - 3 Man Utd
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leicester
West Ham 2 - 0 Leicester
Leicester 0 - 4 Brentford
Leicester 0 - 2 Arsenal
Newcastle 2 - 1 Brentford
Liverpool 1 - 2 Newcastle
West Ham 0 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 2 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 4 - 3 Nott'm Forest

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups