Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.