Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.