Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.