Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.