Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heidenheim in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Heidenheim.