Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.