Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cappielow Park
  • Cameron Blues 56' goal
  • Jordan Davies 77' goal
  • Dylan Corr 84' redcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • Arron Lyall 88' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Main 8'
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 45'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 87'

Greenock Morton vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
Dunfermline 2 - 1 Morton
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Cameron Blues

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Queen's Park 2 - 3 Ayr
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Greenock Morton 24.54% (-0.02)
Draw 27.31% (-0.01)
Ayr United 48.14% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.85% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 59.59% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.07% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.93% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.38% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.62% (+0.01)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 59.7% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.07% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.93% (+0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 75.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.47% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 24.54%
Draw 27.31%
Ayr United 48.14%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 10.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.31%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 13.94%
0-2 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-3 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 48.14%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Nick McAllister 24' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Stuparevic 36'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Morgan Boyes 19' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 37' goal
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 44'
  • goal George Oakley 50'
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 56'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 79'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watret 80'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 66' goal
  • Nick McAllister 69' yellowcard
  • Roy Syla 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 34'
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 34'
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 52'
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 52'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 66'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 27' yellowcard
  • Anton Dowds 45' goal
  • Anton Dowds 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kirk Broadfoot 21'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 23'
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 76'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 81'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Grant Gillespie 30' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 35' goal
  • Lewis Strapp 49' yellowcard
  • Robbie Muirhead 57' goal
  • Robbie Muirhead 59' goal
  • yellowcard Roy Syla 90'
  • yellowcard Francis Amartey 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Mark McKenzie 62' yellowcard
  • Elicha Ahui 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Power 57'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 60'
  • yellowcard Iain Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Tyler French 81'
  • goal George Oakley 87'