European Championship
Germany
Jun 14, 2024 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Allianz Arena
Scotland
  • Florian Wirtz 10' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 19' goal
  • Robert Andrich 31' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 45'+1' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 62' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 68' goal
  • Emre Can 90'+3' goal
  • redcard Ryan Porteous 44'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 48'
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 87' (OG)

Germany vs Scotland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis
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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Scotland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Germany 62% ▼ (-0.55)
Draw 19.83% ▲ (+0.14)
Scotland 18.17% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.28% ▲ (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 36.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 41.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 58.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 76.47% ▼ (-0.06)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 64.2% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 35.8% ▲ (+0.28)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 66.79% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 0.5 33.21% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 1.5 30.18% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 69.82% ▼ (-0.54)

Score analysis

Germany 62%
Draw 19.83%
Scotland 18.17%
Germany
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 62%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.83%
Scotland
1-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 18.17%

Head to Head

European Championship
Scotland
Sep 7, 2015 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
Germany
  • Mats Hummels 28' goal
  • James McArthur 43' goal
  • James Morrison 55' yellowcard
  • Shaun Maloney 58' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Muller 18'
  • goal Thomas Muller 34'
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 54'
European Championship
Germany
Sep 7, 2014 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Scotland
  • Thomas Muller 18' goal
  • Thomas Muller 70' goal
  • Erik Durm 72' yellowcard
  • Thomas Muller 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grant Hanley 50'
  • goal Ikechi Anya 66'
  • yellowcard James Morrison 76'
  • yellowcard Charlie Mulgrew 91'
  • redcard Charlie Mulgrew 94'

Form Data

Germany 2 - 1 Greece
Germany 0 - 0 Ukraine
Germany 2 - 1 Netherlands
France 0 - 2 Germany
Austria 2 - 0 Germany
Germany 2 - 3 Turkey
Scotland 2 - 2 Finland
Gibraltar 0 - 2 Scotland
Scotland 0 - 1 N. Ireland
Netherlands 4 - 0 Scotland
Scotland 3 - 3 Norway
Georgia 2 - 2 Scotland

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