Copa Libertadores
May 29, 2024 1.00am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 7' goal
  • Pedro 7' goal
  • Juan Pablo Vargas 25' goal
  • Juan Pablo Vargas 25' goal
  • Pedro 44' goal
  • Pedro 44' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 87' redcard
  • Bruno Henrique 87' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Giraldo 78'
  • yellowcard Daniel Giraldo 78'

Flamengo vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Flamengo 4 - 0 Bolivar

Millonarios

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 15, 2024 3.00am
Millonarios 1 - 1 Palestino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result

Flamengo 75.47% (+0.05)
Draw 15.77% (-0.04)
Millonarios 8.76% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.3% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.79% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.2% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 37.42% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 62.58% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 20.11% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 79.89% (-0.09)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 90.99% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 9.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 69.31% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 30.69% (-0.10)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5 49.79% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 50.21% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 15.2% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 84.8% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Flamengo 75.45%
Draw 15.77%
Millonarios 8.76%
Flamengo
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.24% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6.33% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 3.05% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 75.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 15.77%
Millonarios
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 8.76%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 2, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
  • Leonardo Castro 21' yellowcard
  • Larry Vasquez 61' redcard
  • Daniel Ruiz 80' goal
  • goal Pedro 64'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'