Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.31%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.