League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Jad Hakiki 8' goal
  • Ryan O'Kane 16' goal
  • Sean Keogh 49' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 55' goal
  • Ryan O'Kane 65' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 85' goal
  • goal Douglas James-Taylor 37'
  • yellowcard Elicha Ahui 39'
  • yellowcard Kevin Doherty 40'
  • yellowcard Shane Farrell 42'
  • goal Douglas James-Taylor 90'+3'

Dundalk vs Drogheda United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 8.00pm
Shamrock 1 - 0 Dundalk
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
James Gullan

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jul 4, 2024 7.45pm
Drogheda 1 - 1 Shelbourne
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Frantz Pierrot

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result

Dundalk 57% (-1.03)
Draw 25.35% (+0.50)
Drogheda United 17.65% (+0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.42% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.56% (-0.97)
Under 2.5 59.44% (+0.97)
Over 3.5 20.19% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 79.81% (+0.75)
Over 4.5 8.45% (-0.44)
Under 4.5 91.55% (+0.44)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 79.08% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 20.92% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 46.35% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 53.65% (+1.26)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5 52.38% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 47.62% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 17.05% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 82.95% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Dundalk 57%
Draw 25.34%
Drogheda United 17.65%
Dundalk
1-0 @ 15.58% (+0.18)
2-0 @ 12.19% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.96% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.34%
Drogheda United
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 4.29% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.74% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 17.65%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 6, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Gary Deegan 36' yellowcard
  • Frantz Pierrot 55' goal
  • Andrew Quinn 70' yellowcard
  • Jethren Barr 76' redcard
  • Hayden Cann 90'+4' goal
  • Adam Foley 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Ryan Brennan 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Doyle 56'
  • yellowcard Koen Oostenbrink 72'
  • goal James Gullan 78'
  • yellowcard Scott High 90'+3'
  • redcard George Shelvey 90'+11'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 1, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Sam Durrant 39' yellowcard
  • Mayowa Animasahun 57' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 83' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Oisin Gallagher 42'
  • redcard Luke Heeney 70'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 29, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Paul Doyle 40' goal
  • Daniel Kelly 46' goal
  • Robbie Benson 63' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 77' goal
  • goal Kyle Robinson 26'
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 35'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Adam Foley 9' goal
  • goal Patrick Hoban 77'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 80'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Ryan O'Kane 23' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 28' goal
  • John Martin 90'+1' goal
  • goal Dayle Rooney 54'
  • goal Freddie Draper 72'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hunky Dorys Park
  • goal Connor Malley 65'