Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 9.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Patricio Pacifico 42' yellowcard
  • Juan Jorge 79' goal
  • Luan Figueiroa Brito 83' goal
  • Felipe Cadenazzi 90' goal
  • Walter Montoya 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Gonzalez 38'
  • yellowcard Hernan Toledo 51'
  • goal Renato Cesar 54'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 85'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 87'
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Gonzalez 90'+2'

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 11.00pm
Nacional 1 - 1 Defensor
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Octavio Rivero

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 20, 2024 11.30pm
Maldonado 1 - 3 Wanderers
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Maximiliano Noble

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result

Defensor Sporting 48.57% (-0.40)
Draw 27.39% (+0.20)
Deportivo Maldonado 24.04% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.21% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.82% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 60.18% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 19.62% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 80.38% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 8.12% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 91.88% (+0.23)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 75.07% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 24.92% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 40.45% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 59.55% (+0.59)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 58.89% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.11% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 22.34% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 77.65% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 48.57%
Draw 27.38%
Deportivo Maldonado 24.04%
Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 14.23% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 48.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 10.24% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.38%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 9.11% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 5.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 24.04%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jun 9, 2024 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Julio Cesar Abbadie
  • Santiago Ramirez 54' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramirez 54' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Reyes 75' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Reyes 75' yellowcard
  • goal Renzo Giampaoli 40'
  • goal Renzo Giampaoli 40'
  • goal Jose Alvarez 85'
  • goal Jose Alvarez 85'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 90'+8'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 24, 2024 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Facundo Tealde 38' yellowcard
  • Facundo Tealde 39' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 45' yellowcard
  • Hernan Menosse 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Santiago Cartagena 64' goal
  • Santiago Cartagena 64' goal
  • Pablo Gonzalez 69' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gonzalez 69' yellowcard
  • Santiago Cartagena 83' yellowcard
  • Santiago Cartagena 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Renzo Giampaoli 83'
  • yellowcard Renzo Giampaoli 83'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 87'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
  • Enzo Martinez 30' goal
  • Santiago Cartagena 41' yellowcard
  • Elias de Leon 53' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gonzalez 62' goal
  • goal Joaquin Valiente 39'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Navarro 85'
  • yellowcard Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+9'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Alvaro Navarro 57' goal
  • goal Guillermo De Los Santos 40' (OG)
  • goal Guillermo De Los Santos 41' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
Oct 15, 2022 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 29, 2022 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Facundo Labandeira 31' goal
  • Lucas de los Santos 35' yellowcard
  • Fernando Elizari 64' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Camargo 89' yellowcard
  • Anderson Nathael Duarte da Silva 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Piriz 26'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Varela 33'
  • yellowcard Alex Silva 42'
  • yellowcard Angel Rodriguez 61'
  • goal Enzo Borges 84'