Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.