Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.