League One Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Elias Kachunga 34' yellowcard
  • Shayne Lavery 36' goal
  • Elias Kachunga 68' redcard
  • Kell Watts 77' yellowcard
  • Josh Stokes 88' yellowcard
  • goal Christoph Klarer 25'
  • yellowcard Taylor Gardner-Hickman 75'
  • goal Kell Watts 82' (OG)

Cambridge United vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Cambridge
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Dan N'Lundulu

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2025 7.45pm
Blackpool 0 - 2 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Cambridge United 15.83% (+1.67)
Draw 20.32% (+0.75)
Birmingham City 63.85% (-2.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.35% (+1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.16% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 42.84% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 34.76% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 65.24% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.08% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.91% (-0.06)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 59.99% (+2.32)
Under 0.5 40.01% (-2.32)
Over 1.5 23.34% (+2.06)
Under 1.5 76.66% (-2.06)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 87.26% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 12.73% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 61.02% (-1.37)
Under 1.5 38.98% (+1.37)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 15.83%
Draw 20.32%
Birmingham City 63.83%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 4.67% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 4.41% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 2.14% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.39% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 1.35% (+0.20)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (+0.33)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.32)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.32%
Birmingham City
0-2 @ 10.81% (-0.61)
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 9.91% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 7.43% (-0.62)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 3.83% (-0.43)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.61% (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.58% (-0.22)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.83%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 11
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 23' goal
  • Liam Bennett 39' goal
  • Kieran Dowell 40' goal
  • Luke Harris 80' goal
  • Ethan Laird 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Bishop 57'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 84'
  • yellowcard Brandon Njoku 90'
EFL Cup
Sep 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Robbie Cundy 19'
League Cup
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Clayton Donaldson 16' goal
  • David Davis 65' yellowcard
  • Paul Caddis 96' goal
  • Mark Duffy 106' goal
  • goal Ryan Donaldson 38'