Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.