Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.