/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
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Hannibal Mejbri
87'
-
Jaidon Anthony
90'+5'
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Andy Moran
13'
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Lynden Gooch
76'
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Junior Tchamadeu
84'
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Sam Gallagher
90'
Burnley vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
Burnley
52.95%
▲
(+0.50)
Draw
24.03%
▼
(-0.14)
Stoke City
23.02%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
52.69%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.49%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
48.51%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
29.36%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
70.64%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
14.23%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
85.77%
▼
(-0.15)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
81.73%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
18.27%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
50.67%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 1.5
49.33%
▼
(-0.47)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
64.47%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
35.53%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
27.71%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
72.29%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Burnley
52.95%
Draw
24.02%
Stoke City
23.02%
Burnley
1-0
@
11.03%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.95%
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1
@
11.41%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.02%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.02%
Stoke City
0-1
@
6.72%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.02%
Jay Rodriguez
52'