Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Brazil Women had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.25%) and 2-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Brazil Women win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.