Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.