League One Gameweek 11
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 23' goal
  • Liam Bennett 39' goal
  • Kieran Dowell 40' goal
  • Luke Harris 80' goal
  • Ethan Laird 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Bishop 57'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 84'
  • yellowcard Brandon Njoku 90'

Birmingham City vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 1 Rotherham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Lincoln 1 - 1 Cambridge
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Dan N'Lundulu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Birmingham City 71.67% (+0.11)
Draw 18% (-0.06)
Cambridge United 10.33% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.01% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.55% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 45.45% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 32.22% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 67.78% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 16.23% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 83.77% (-0.09)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 88.67% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 11.33% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 63.99% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 36.01% (-0.14)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 49.64% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 50.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 15.09% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 84.91% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 71.66%
Draw 18%
Cambridge United 10.34%
Birmingham City
2-0 @ 13.53%
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 9.82% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.35% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.67% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 71.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 18%
Cambridge United
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.34%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Sep 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Robbie Cundy 19'
League Cup
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Clayton Donaldson 16' goal
  • David Davis 65' yellowcard
  • Paul Caddis 96' goal
  • Mark Duffy 106' goal
  • goal Ryan Donaldson 38'