Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.