Ligue 2 Gameweek 28
Mar 28, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Christophe Vincent 2' goal
  • Jocelyn Janneh 8' yellowcard
  • Gustave Akueson 43' yellowcard
  • Maxime Ble 70' goal
  • Julien Maggiotti 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ugo Raghouber 22'
  • yellowcard Yacine Bammou 32'
  • yellowcard Abner 77'

Bastia vs Dunkerque - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 7.00pm
Lorient 4 - 0 Bastia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lamine Cisse

Dunkerque

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 1.00pm
Dunkerque 2 - 3 Metz
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Naatan Skytta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result

Bastia 53.44% (-0.01)
Draw 25.62% (-0.01)
Dunkerque 20.94% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.47% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.73% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.32% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.68% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.7% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.3% (-0.01)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5 78.72% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.29% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.78% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.22% (-0.01)

Dunkerque Goals

Over 0.5 57.77% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 42.23% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.63% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Bastia 53.42%
Draw 25.61%
Dunkerque 20.94%
Bastia
1-0 @ 13.9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.61%
Dunkerque
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.94%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Marcel-Tribut
  • Yacine Bammou 65' goal
  • Yirigue Foungognan Sekongo 83' goal
  • goal Amine Boutrah 36'
  • yellowcard Juan Jose Guevara Possu 44'
  • yellowcard Cyrille Loic Onana Etoga 60'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Armand-Cesari
  • Florian Bianchini 9' goal
  • Christophe Vincent 51' yellowcard
  • Cheick Keita 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Bardeli 45'+4'
  • goal Nehemiah Fernandez 80'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Marcel-Tribut
  • Yohan Bilingi 35' yellowcard
  • Achraf Laaziri 59' yellowcard
  • Opa Sangante 76' yellowcard
  • goal Yllan Okou 2'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 13'
  • yellowcard Regis Brouard 36'
  • yellowcard Florian Bohnert 45'+2'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 68'
  • goal Felix Tomi 89'
  • goal Migouel Alfarela 90'+2'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominique Guidi 14' yellowcard
  • Amine Talal 21' goal
  • Lloyd Palun 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Roncaglia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Santelli 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alioune Ba 2'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Malik Tchokounte 33' yellowcard
  • Malik Tchokounte 58' goal
  • Malik Tchokounte 86' goal
  • yellowcard Stephen Quemper 21'