Premier League Gameweek 7
Arsenal
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Southampton
  • Kai Havertz 58' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 68' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 23'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 34'
  • yellowcard Tyler Obling 38'
  • goal Cameron Archer 55'

Arsenal vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
Arsenal 4 - 2 Leicester
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2024 8.00pm
Bournemouth 3 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 73.7% ▼ (-1.58)
Draw 15.52% ▲ (+0.63)
Southampton 10.78% ▲ (+0.95)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% ▲ (+1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.83% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 32.16% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 46.24% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 53.75% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 27.37% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 72.62% ▲ (+0.17)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 92.53% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 7.47% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 73.15% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 26.85% ▲ (+0.92)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 59.4% ▲ (+1.64)
Under 0.5 40.59% ▼ (-1.64)
Over 1.5 22.81% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 1.5 77.19% ▼ (-1.45)

Score analysis

Arsenal 73.69%
Draw 15.53%
Southampton 10.78%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.30)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.39)
4-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.16)
5-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.26)
5-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.06)
6-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.14)
5-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 73.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-97.63)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.53%
Southampton
1-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.78%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Arsenal
Apr 21, 2023 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Southampton
  • Gabriel Martinelli 20' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 88' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 90' goal
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 1'
  • goal Theo Walcott 14'
  • goal Duje Caleta-Car 66'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Southampton
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Stuart Armstrong 65' goal
  • goal Granit Xhaka 11'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Southampton
Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Jan Bednarek 44' goal
  • Armando Broja 56' yellowcard
  • Shane Long 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Arsenal
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Southampton
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 3' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 17' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 21' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 27' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 62' goal
Premier League Gameweek 20
Southampton
Jan 26, 2021 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Stuart Armstrong 3' goal
  • Caleb Watts 90' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Pepe 8'
  • yellowcard Hector Bellerin 19'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pepe 70'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 72'
FA Cup
Southampton
Jan 23, 2021 12.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 24' goal
  • Jack Stephens 56' yellowcard
  • Ryan Bertrand 83' yellowcard

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 0 PSG
Arsenal 4 - 2 Leicester
Arsenal 5 - 1 Bolton
Man City 2 - 2 Arsenal
Atalanta 0 - 0 Arsenal
Spurs 0 - 1 Arsenal
Bournemouth 3 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 1 Ipswich
Everton 1 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 0 - 3 Man Utd
Brentford 3 - 1 Southampton
Cardiff 3 - 5 Southampton

Build-up

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