Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.