/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrulog.png)
-
Christian Pulisic
34'
-
Rafael Leao
50'
-
Alvaro Morata
59'
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Tijjani Reijnders
61'
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Tijjani Reijnders
71'
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Matteo Gabbia
71'
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Francesco Camarda
88'
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Joaquin Seys
20'
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Ardon Jasari
23'
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Raphael Onyedika
40'
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Kyriani Sabbe
51'
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Michal Skoras
73'
AC Milan vs Club Brugge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fsamuel-chukwueze.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
39.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
24.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Club Brugge
36.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
59.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
42.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
34.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
65.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
18.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
81.87%
▼
(-0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
78.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
21.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
45.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
54.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5
76.66%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
23.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
42.7%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
57.3%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
AC Milan
39.35%
Draw
24.38%
Club Brugge
36.27%
AC Milan
2-1
@
8.59%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.35%
1-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.35%
Draw
1-1
@
11.27%
2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
Club Brugge
1-2
@
8.2%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.27%
0-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.27%