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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 42% ( | 27.97% ( | 30.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( | 59.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% ( | 79.58% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( | 27.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.63% ( | 63.37% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( | 35.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( | 72.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.06% Total : 30.02% |