League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 4
Tranmere

McLoughlin (23')
Whitmore (27'), Glennon (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Garrett (41'), Dennis (48'), Patrick (70'), Davison (78')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Newport
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
31.4% ( 2.11)	26% ( 0.15)	42.59% ( -2.26)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86% (

0.25)

51.13% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.22)

72.98% (

-0.22)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

1.62)

30.3% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52% (

1.9)

66.48% (

-1.9)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

-0.98)

23.82% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

-1.43)

58% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Newport County 31.41%

Tranmere Rovers 42.59%

Draw 26%

Newport County	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.41%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.59%