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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Exeter City |
| 20.87% | 25.08% | 54.05% |
| Both teams to score 46.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% | 41.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% | 77.76% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% | 20.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% | 52.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.87% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 13.34% 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 2% Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.05% |