League One Gameweek 7
AFC Wimbledon
Sep 17, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
MK Dons
  • Ryan Johnson 30' yellowcard
  • Johnnie Jackson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Paterson 15'
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 56'

AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Myles Hippolyte

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 37.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 27.26% ▼ (-0.07)
MK Dons 35.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.58% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.91% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 26.09% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 49.1% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 50.9% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 27.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 72.34% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 15.07% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.93% ▼ (-0.12)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 25.86%
Draw 42%
MK Dons 32.14%

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 46.19% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.68% ▼ (-0.07)
MK Dons 46.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.61%
Equal 8 10.65%
Under 8 21.74%
Over 9 55.8%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 32.39%
Over 10.5 43.89%
Under 10.5 56.11%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 62.73% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 14.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.14% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.17% ▼ (-0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 69.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 30.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 37.62%
Draw 27.26%
MK Dons 35.11%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 37.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.26%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
MK Dons
Jan 25, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
AFC Wimbledon
  • Jay Williams 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alistair Smith 74'
  • yellowcard Marcus Browne 79'
FA Cup
MK Dons
Nov 3, 2024 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
AFC Wimbledon
  • Scott Hogan 30' yellowcard
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 38' yellowcard
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 57' yellowcard
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 71' redcard
  • Alex Gilbey 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Neufville 12'
  • goal Mathew Stevens 44'
  • goal Omar Bugiel 51'
  • yellowcard Myles Hippolyte 67'
  • yellowcard Mathew Stevens 73'
  • yellowcard Joe Lewis 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 6
AFC Wimbledon
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kingsmeadow
MK Dons
  • Myles Hippolyte 11' goal
  • Callum Maycock 90' goal
  • Callum Maycock 90'+7' goal
League Two Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kingsmeadow
MK Dons
  • Armani Little 28' yellowcard
  • Josh Kelly 36' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 77' yellowcard
  • Jake Reeves 85' yellowcard
  • John-Joe O'Toole 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ronan Curtis 90'+4' goal
  • Ronan Curtis 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Kelly 4'
  • yellowcard Stephen Wearne 29'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 55'
  • yellowcard Kyran Lofthouse 56'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 65'
  • yellowcard Cameron Norman 87'
League Two Gameweek 18
MK Dons
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadium mk
AFC Wimbledon
  • Dan Kemp 10' goal
  • Ryan Johnson 16' goal
  • Warren O'Hora 22' goal
  • Jack Payne 79' yellowcard
  • goal Armani Little 53'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 56'
  • redcard Huseyin Biler 65'
  • redcard Paul Kalambayi 73'
League One Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
MK Dons
  • Alex Woodyard 19' goal
  • Ben Heneghan 36' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Assal 45'+1' yellowcard
  • George Marsh 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 40'
  • yellowcard Warren O'Hora 45'+1'
  • goal Troy Parrott 80'

Form Data

AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Doncaster
Bromley 0 - 2 AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Wigan
Fulham 3 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Reading
MK Dons 1 - 1 Peterborough
Wycombe 3 - 3 MK Dons
Wigan 3 - 1 MK Dons
MK Dons 0 - 0 Leicester
MK Dons 1 - 1 Huddersfield
Oxford Utd 2 - 2 MK Dons