League One Gameweek 14
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Bromley 1 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Harry Leonard

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2026 7.45pm
Luton 3 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Peterborough United has a probability of 34.24% and a draw has a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Peterborough United win is 2-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result

Peterborough United 34.24% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 23.72% ▼ (-0.07)
Luton Town 42.05% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 64.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 35.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 40.96% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 3.5 59.04% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 4.5 24.76% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 75.24% ▲ (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Peterborough United 31.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 37.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Luton Town 31.52% ▲ (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Peterborough United 47.87% ▲ (+0.55)
No Goal 3.92%
Luton Town 48.21% ▼ (-0.55)

Corners

Over 8 62% ▲ (+0.94)
Equal 8 10.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 27.25% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 9 50.66% ▲ (+0.93)
Equal 9 11.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 38% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 10.5 39.7% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 10.5 60.3% ▼ (-0.86)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 1.5 41.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 58.03% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 18.8% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 81.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.1% ▲ (+0.06)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 48.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 51.6% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 23.52% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 76.48% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 9.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 90.79% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 34.23%
Draw 23.72%
Luton Town 42.05%
Peterborough United
2-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 34.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.92%
3-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 23.72%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 42.05%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • J. Richards 20' goal
  • Jordan Clark 50' goal
  • Devante Cole 65' yellowcard
  • Gideon Kodua 65' yellowcard
  • George Alan Saville 83' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Leonard 35'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Woods 60'
  • yellowcard D. Kamara 60'
  • yellowcard D. Kamara 61'
  • yellowcard B. Shofowoke 61'
  • yellowcard David Okagbue 72'
  • goal Jimmy Morgan 75'
League One
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 20, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 27'
  • goal Harry Cornick 82'
Championship Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jeando Fuchs 14' yellowcard
  • Jack Marriott 41' yellowcard
  • Frankie Kent 70' yellowcard
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 75' yellowcard
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 87' goal
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 16'
  • goal Danny Hylton 49'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elijah Adebayo 30' goal
  • Harry Cornick 68' goal
  • Fred Onyedinma 71' goal
  • James Bree 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 16'
  • yellowcard Josh Knight 56'
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Ward 84'
  • yellowcard Sammie Szmodics 87'
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • James Collins 8' goal
  • Matthew Pearson 12' yellowcard
  • James Collins 27' goal
  • James Collins 53' goal
  • Luke Berry 66' goal
  • redcard Ryan Tafazolli 25'
  • yellowcard Marcus Maddison 63'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 73'